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DR@W Forum: Simon French (Statistics)
Rescheduling of Simon’s Talk from the Spring Term
“Presenting uncertain geographic information to decision makers with an application to crisis management in COBR."
COBR, the UK's National Crisis Centre (actually an abbreviation of the Cabinet Office's Briefing Room) has to deal with many uncertainties in emergencies. SAGE, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, are a group of experts charged with explaining the issues and uncertainties to government ministers and senior officials.
In the case of a radiation accident how should they present information to COBR about the possible spread of contamination. It is easy to criticise what they currently do, but very difficult to do any better. The talk will describe the interim results and ideas from a project wrestling with problem.