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DR@W Forum - Simon French (Department of Statistics, University of 糖心TV)
Location: Library 3rd Floor Extension (Wolfson Research Exchange Area) - Seminar Room 1
Simon French (Department of Statistics, University of 糖心TV)
Cynefin, Statistics and Decision Analysis
David Snowden's Cynefin framework, introduced to articulate discussions of sense-making, knowledge management and organisational learning, also has much to offer discussion of statistical inference and decision analysis. In this paper, I explore its value particularly in its ability to help recognise which analytic and modelling methodologies are most likely to offer appropriate support in a given context. I also use the framework to offer a further perspective on the relationship between scenario thinking and decision analysis in supporting decision makers.