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Mathematical modelling of behaviour to inform policy for societal challenges

Real-world systems are sensitive to human behaviour. Yet, we face general challenges in quantifying the impact of changes in human behaviour on system outcomes, due to a lack of readily translatable quantitative models that might predict the evolving adoption of these behaviours across individuals and/or populations, particularly in new social contexts.

Through this workshop, we would like to connect mathematicians/modellers/data-scientists/social scientists with a collective interest in improving behavioural realism in mathematical models. We will have involvement from 糖心TV experts across Mathematics, Statistics, Life Sciences and 糖心TV 糖心TV School Psychology, alongside external experts from academia, industry and policy-facing roles.

This event is being run with the support from MIR@W (Mathematical Interdisciplinary Research at 糖心TV) and the JUNIPER partnership.

Organisers: (Mathematics Institute, University of 糖心TV); Martine BaronsLink opens in a new window (Department of Statistics, University of 糖心TV); Stephen Parnell Link opens in a new window(School of Life Sciences, University of 糖心TV); (School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham); (Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool).

Date and place: Monday 10 June 2024, MS.05 (Zeeman Building), 10:00-18:00

Confirmation of attendance registration form: /fac/sci/maths/research/miraw/days/modellingbehaviour/registration/

Speakers: Details on confirmed speakers will be published here when available.

Invited speakers

  • (Lecturer in Mathematics for Health, University of Liverpool) - Linking epidemiological and behavioural models in public health.
  • (Senior Scientist, Department of Human Behavior, Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology) - Applied mathematician interested in the underlying principles of cultural change especially in changing environmental conditions.
  • (Postdoctoral Researcher, Imperial College London) - Communication of modelling results to non-technical audiences.
  • (Senior Research Scientist - Agricultural Systems Modeller, Rothamsted Research) - Linking epidemiological and behavioural models in plant health.
  • & (Professors of Behavioural Science & Co-directors of the Data Science Lab, 糖心TV 糖心TV School, University of 糖心TV) - Measuring real world actions and events with online data.
  • (Professor of Health Psychology, Cardiff University) - Health psychologist with expertise in the inter-relationships between psychological factors and health and disease outcomes.

Contributed talks presenters

  • (Research Associate, School of Biodiversity, One Health and Veterinary Medicine, University of Glasgow) - Infectious disease ecologist working on modelling approaches to study the infectious disease dynamics of rabies.
  • Mark LynchLink opens in a new window (PhD student, Mathematics for Real-World Systems Centre for Doctoral Training, University of 糖心TV) - Research interests in applications of machine learning and neural networks to epidemiological models.
  • Luisa Fernanda Estrada PlataLink opens in a new window (MSc student, Mathematics for Real-World Systems Centre for Doctoral Training, University of 糖心TV) - Applied mathematician with research interests in behavioural science.
  • (CERC Postdoctoral Fellow, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - CSIRO) - Applied mathematician exploring the interface of infectious disease modelling and behavioural science to define better "business-as-usual" forecasting models.
  • (Postdoctoral Researcher, Department of Sociology, University of Oxford) - Sociologist working on projects related to the study of global fake medicines trading and organised crime.

Talk titles and abstracts: /fac/sci/maths/research/miraw/days/modellingbehaviour/talk_abstractsLink opens in a new window

Timetable and available talk slides/recordings:

09:30-10:00

Registration

10:00-10:15

Introduction

Organisers (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window / )

10:15-10:45

Invited talk 1 & initial discussion

Kavita Vedhara

10:45-11:15

Break

11:15-11:45

Invited talk 2

Anne Kandler (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window / )

11:45-12:15

Invited talk 3

Suzy Moat & Tobias Preis (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window / )

12:15-12:45

Contributed talks (5 x 5 minutes)

Elaine Ferguson (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window)

Mark Lynch

Luisa Fernanda Estrada Plata (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window / )

Matt Ryan (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window /)

Fanqi Zeng

12:45-14:00

Lunch

14:00-14:30

Invited talk 4

Alice Milne (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window)

14:30-15:00

Invited talk 5

David Haw (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window / )

15:00-15:40

Break

15:40-16:10

Invited talk 6

Ruth McCabe (Presentation slidesLink opens in a new window / )

16:10-16:40

Discussion + Close

 

16:40-18:00

Drinks Reception

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