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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260430T095714Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20250122T130000
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20250122T140000
SUMMARY:MathSys Forum - Prof Flavio Toxvaerd
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20250122-8ac672c79445486c01945fedb72c6691@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20250113T135037Z
DESCRIPTION:Silent Spreaders: Behaviour and Equilibrium Under Asymptomati
 c Infection This paper analyzes equilibrium social distancing choices in
  a model with potentially asymptomatic infection. Since infection only p
 rompts symptoms probabilistically\, individuals cannot perfectly infer t
 heir health state from the absence of symptoms. Instead\, they must form
  beliefs about their health state based on knowledge of the population f
 requencies. I show that relative to a benchmark with perfect health stat
 e information\, asymptomatic infection leads to lower mitigation through
  four distinct channels\, some mechanistic and some that work through be
 liefs and thus decisions. The model is then applied to an analysis of in
 dividual and mass testing. The value of the former derives from the valu
 e of information and it is shown that the latter may influence the cours
 e of the epidemic through its influence on aggregate equilibrium behavio
 ur. Tests for immunity generally have a higher value of information and 
 aggregate effects than tests for infection.
LOCATION:B3.02
URL:/fac/sci/mathsys/forum/abstracts/#faq-4
ATTACH:/fac/sci/mathsys/forum/abstracts/#faq-4
CATEGORIES:Mathematics,forum
LAST-MODIFIED:20250113T135037Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Julia Fan:
END:VEVENT
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