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DTSTART:19960101T000000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19961027T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260427T225312Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20251201T140000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20251201T153000 SUMMARY:Econometrics Seminar - Ben Deaner (UCL) TZID:Europe/London UID:20251201-8ac672c5990a699f01990fd6b56c5f48@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20251124T093307Z DESCRIPTION:Title: Identification Using Internal Instruments in Large N a nd T Panel Models (joint with Andrei Zeleneev). This is preliminary work so we do not yet have a complete paper\, here is an abstract . Abstract - In order to identify causal effects using panel data\, researchers ma y exploit the presence of external instruments in the form of aggregate shocks which vary over time but not between individuals\, e.g.\, policy shocks or cost shocks. By construction\, these shocks are uncorrelated w ith any idiosyncratic variation in confounding factors\, and they are un correlated with aggregate confounding factors if they satisfy an exclusi on restriction. In this work we show that with large N and T panel data\ , causal effects can be identified and estimated when such exogenous sho cks exist\, even if they are not directly observed. Our identification a pproach can be summarized as follows. First\, we propose that one form a vector of candidate (i.e.\, possibly endogenous) instruments by extract ing period-specific factors from the matrix of outcomes and treatments. Second\, we show that with large and panel data\, given a vector of cand idate instruments\, one can identify causal effects so long as there exi sts some (unknown) linear combination of these candidate instruments tha t is exogenous. We propose an estimator whose form is motivated by our i dentification results and we provide some simulation evidence of its eff icacy. LOCATION:S2.79 CATEGORIES:Econometrics Seminar LAST-MODIFIED:20251124T093307Z ORGANIZER;CN=Gill Gudger: END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR