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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260429T061311Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20251009T111500
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20251009T123000
SUMMARY:PEPE (Political Economy & Public Economics) Seminar - Livio Di Lo
 nardo (Bocconi)
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20251009-8ac672c49898f19d01989db448a90a7a@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20251008T081836Z
DESCRIPTION:Title: Repression and Autocratic Consolidation Abstract - We 
 develop a dynamic model of autocracy where repression suppresses dissent
 \, possibly at the expense of policies that reduce popular discontentā€”an
 d thus\, future mobilization. Accounting for the possibility that repres
 sion could hasten or hinder autocratic consolidation\, we identify a uni
 que equilibrium that takes one of three forms: deterrence\, where the au
 tocrat is never challenged\; instability\, where challenges occur every 
 period\; or a mixed strategy equilibrium with periods of deterrence and 
 periods with challenges. When repression hastens consolidation\, the aut
 ocrat invests heavily in repression\, so as to deter dissent and acceler
 ate the opposition's defeat. When repression bolsters resistance\, a tra
 deoff arises between deterrence and consolidation\, and the autocrat may
  prefer to invite challenges. We then examine the effects of indirect fo
 reign interference - such as sanctions or withholding foreign aid disbur
 sement - aimed at protecting the opposition or promoting democratization
 . Even under ideal conditions\, such interference cannot achieve both go
 als simultaneously.
LOCATION:S0.10
CATEGORIES:Political Economy and Public Economics Seminar
LAST-MODIFIED:20251008T081836Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Gill Gudger:
END:VEVENT
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