BEGIN:VCALENDAR
PRODID:-//SiteBuilder 2//University of ÌÇÐÄTV ITS Web Team//EN
VERSION:2.0
CALSCALE:GREGORIAN
METHOD:PUBLISH
X-WR-TIMEZONE:Europe/London
X-LIC-LOCATION:Europe/London
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Europe/London
LAST-MODIFIED:20201010T011803Z
TZURL:http://tzurl.org/zoneinfo/Europe/London
X-LIC-LOCATION:Europe/London
X-PROLEPTIC-TZNAME:LMT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+000115
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:18471201T000000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19160521T020000
RDATE:19170408T020000
RDATE:19180324T020000
RDATE:19190330T020000
RDATE:19200328T020000
RDATE:19210403T020000
RDATE:19220326T020000
RDATE:19230422T020000
RDATE:19240413T020000
RDATE:19270410T020000
RDATE:19300413T020000
RDATE:19330409T020000
RDATE:19340422T020000
RDATE:19350414T020000
RDATE:19380410T020000
RDATE:19390416T020000
RDATE:19400225T020000
RDATE:19460414T020000
RDATE:19470316T020000
RDATE:19480314T020000
RDATE:19490403T020000
RDATE:19530419T020000
RDATE:19540411T020000
RDATE:19570414T020000
RDATE:19600410T020000
RDATE:19680218T020000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19161001T030000
RDATE:19170917T030000
RDATE:19180930T030000
RDATE:19190929T030000
RDATE:19201025T030000
RDATE:19211003T030000
RDATE:19221008T030000
RDATE:19391119T030000
RDATE:19471102T030000
RDATE:19481031T030000
RDATE:19491030T030000
RDATE:19711031T030000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19230916T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19240921T020000Z;BYMONTH=9;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19250419T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19260418T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19251004T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19381002T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6,
 7,8;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19280422T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19290421T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19310419T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19320417T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19360419T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19370418T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BDST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
DTSTART:19410504T020000
RDATE:19450402T020000
RDATE:19470413T020000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19410810T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19430815T010000Z;BYMONTH=8;BYMONTHDAY=9,10,11,12,
 13,14,15;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BDST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0200
DTSTART:19420405T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19440402T010000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6,7
 ,8;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0200
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19440917T030000
RDATE:19450715T030000
RDATE:19470810T030000
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19451007T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19461006T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6,
 7,8;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19500416T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19520420T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=14,15,16,17
 ,18,19,20;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19501022T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19521026T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=21,22,23,2
 4,25,26,27;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19531004T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19601002T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=2,3,4,5,6,
 7,8;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19550417T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19560422T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19580420T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19590419T020000Z;BYMONTH=4;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19610326T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19630331T020000Z;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=-1SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19611029T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19671029T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=23,24,25,2
 6,27,28,29;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19640322T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19670319T020000Z;BYMONTH=3;BYMONTHDAY=19,20,21,22
 ,23,24,25;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19681026T230000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19720319T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19800316T020000Z;BYMONTH=3;BYMONTHDAY=16,17,18,19
 ,20,21,22;BYDAY=SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19721029T030000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19801026T020000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=23,24,25,2
 6,27,28,29;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:DAYLIGHT
TZNAME:BST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0100
DTSTART:19810329T010000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=3;BYDAY=-1SU
END:DAYLIGHT
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19811025T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19891029T010000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYMONTHDAY=23,24,25,2
 6,27,28,29;BYDAY=SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19901028T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;UNTIL=19951022T010000Z;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=4SU
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0000
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19960101T000000
END:STANDARD
BEGIN:STANDARD
TZNAME:GMT
TZOFFSETFROM:+0100
TZOFFSETTO:+0000
DTSTART:19961027T020000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260427T080032Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20230613T170000
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20230613T180000
SUMMARY:YRM Week 8 - Hannah Bensoussane on Bayesian individual-level infe
 ctious disease modelling
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20230613-8a1785d78895e6400188b401c9345227@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20230613T090635Z
DESCRIPTION:Title: Bayesian individual-level infectious disease modelling
 : inhomogeneous mixing and an automated approach for updating infection 
 times Abstract: Fitting mathematical models to epidemic data is challeng
 ing because the transmission process is largely unobserved. Add into the
  mix that the characteristics of an individual can affect their ability 
 to catch and transmit infectious diseases and resulting models can be bo
 th complex and computationally costly. Here we develop a model that allo
 ws us to make inference about underlying parameters that drive epidemics
  whilst accounting for individual-level covariates (e.g. age) and shared
  covariates – living in the same house\, for example. The use of an adap
 tive MCMC algorithm featuring novel approaches to updating unknown infec
 tion/infectious times allows us to estimate model parameters and identif
 y characteristics that affect transmission in a fashion that is computat
 ionally viable. Model performance is assessed through a variety of simul
 ation work
LOCATION:
URL:
ATTACH:
CATEGORIES:
LAST-MODIFIED:20230613T090635Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Claudia Viaro:
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR