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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260504T203839Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20230516T141500
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20230516T153000
SUMMARY:Applied Economics\, Econometrics & Public Policy (CAGE) Seminar -
  Bruno Conte (Bologna)
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20230516-8a1785d78558938301857869f3a02bf1@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20230510T083345Z
DESCRIPTION:Title: Climate change and migration: the case of Africa. Abst
 ract: This paper estimates the impacts of climate change in sub-Saharan 
 Africa (SSA) on migration and other economic outcomes. I develop a quant
 itative spatial model that captures the role of trade networks\, migrati
 on barriers\, and agricultural yields on the geography of the economy. I
  combine the model with forecasts of future crop yields to find that cli
 mate change\, by the end of the century\, reduces SSA real GDP per capit
 a by 1.8 percent and displaces 4 million individuals. Migration barriers
  in SSA are very stringent: if absent\, climate-induced migration exceed
 s 100 million individuals. Still\, migration and trade are powerful adap
 tation mechanisms. Reducing migration barriers to the European Union (EU
 ) standards eliminates the aggregate economic losses of climate change i
 n SSA\, but at the cost of more climate migration and higher regional in
 equality. Also reducing trade frictions to the EU levels attenuates this
  cost and makes SSA better off on aggregate and distributional terms.
LOCATION:S2.79
CATEGORIES:Applied & Development Economics Seminar
LAST-MODIFIED:20230510T083345Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Gill Gudger:
END:VEVENT
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