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DTSTART:19960101T000000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19961027T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260624T115923Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20140116T143000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20140116T154500 SUMMARY:DR@W Forum: Harbir Lamba (Mathematics Department\, George Mason U niversity) TZID:Europe/London UID:20140116-8a1785d77b065d9b017b5dc5cb4d1f51@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20131112T112000Z DESCRIPTION:Harbir Lamba (Mathematics Department\, George Mason Universit y) Behavioural economics\, bounded rationality and disequilibrium in eco nomic and financial systems Models that admit only equilibrium solutions are prevalent in economics and finance. Such solutions evolve only in r esponse to exogenous changes but\, worryingly\, their robustness to chan ges in the modeling assumptions and the possibility of non-equilibrium a lternatives is rarely considered. A simple agent-based model will be pre sented that can be used to introduce various forms of bounded rationalit y and the findings of behavioral economics into such equilibrium models. The model will be used to demonstrate that the equilibrium solutions of asset pricing in financial markets (variants of Brownian motion) break down completely in the presence of even very low levels of herding (eith er rational or irrational). The resulting far-from-equilibrium solutions are much closer to the observed statistics of financial markets with bu bbles and crashes of all sizes arising quite naturally as an emergent ph enomenon. At a more abstract level\, the averaging assumptions that are required for equilibrium solutions are being `stress-tested' by embeddin g those models within more general agent-based frameworks that are capab le of endogenous\, far-from-equilibrium\, dynamics. If time permits I sh all discuss how such stability testing can be applied to other equilibri um models such as the supply/demand curves of micro-economics and the DS GE models of macro-economics. Download Paper LOCATION: CATEGORIES:Draw Forum LAST-MODIFIED:20210819T093725Z ORGANIZER;CN="": END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR