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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260511T111520Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20181112T130000
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20181112T140000
SUMMARY:Economic History Workshop - Ola Olasson (Gothenberg)
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20181112-8a17841a63d087630163ee8991703c84@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20181108T153310Z
DESCRIPTION:Workshop organiser: Yannick Dupraz Title of paper: Environmen
 tal Circumscription and Early State Development: The Case of Ancient Egy
 pt Abstract: What explains the origins and development of the first stat
 es around five thousand years ago? In this research\, we focus on the ro
 le of weather shocks for early state development in a single region\; an
 cient Egypt. We outline a dynamic extension of Carneiro’s (1970) model o
 f environmental circumscription and early state development where the ef
 fective level of a region’s circumscription varies with exogenous weathe
 r shocks that affect Nile floods in the core\, as well as the fertility 
 of the surrounding hinterland. Our key hypotheses is that political stab
 ility should be higher when floods are abundant and the hinterland is dr
 y. In order to test our model’s predictions\, we develop novel proxies f
 or historical precipitation on the basis of recently discovered\, high-r
 esolution paleoclimate archives (speleothem). Our empirical analysis the
 n investigates the relationship between the level of Nile floods and rai
 nfall in the Egyptian hinterland on the one hand\, and political outcome
 s such as ruler and dynastic tenure durations and the intensity of pyram
 id construction on the other\, during 2685 - 750 BCE\, i.e. the classica
 l period in dynastic Egypt. Our results show that while both too high or
  too low Nile floods are associated with a greater degree of political i
 nstability\, periods with a greater rainfall in the hinterland (and henc
 e a lower degree of environmental circumscription) are associated with a
 n immediate rise in military and pyramid construction activity but also 
 with a delayed increase in political instability since the decline in ef
 fective circumscription provides the farming population with an outside 
 option in the hinterland.
LOCATION:Cowling Room\, S2.77
CATEGORIES:Economic History Seminar
LAST-MODIFIED:20181108T153310Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Gill Gudger:
END:VEVENT
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