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DTSTART:19960101T000000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:STANDARD TZNAME:GMT TZOFFSETFROM:+0100 TZOFFSETTO:+0000 DTSTART:19961027T020000 RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=10;BYDAY=-1SU END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTAMP:20260628T011248Z DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20071206T170000 DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20071206T190000 SUMMARY:Modelling Conflict TZID:Europe/London UID:20071206-094d43d5385c299a01386c3bd89264be@warwick.ac.uk CREATED:20071123T132207Z DESCRIPTION:Thursday 6th December 2007: Evening Lecture MODELLING CONFLIC T Lectures will be held in Central London. 57-58 De Morgan House – Russe ll Square. 5:00pm – 7.00 pm: Professor Timothy Hackworth & Philip Trelea ven (Computer Science UCL) Computational Science has already had an imme nse impact on the life sciences. We now try to assess its effectiveness on social and political modelling and\, in particular\, in thwarting ter rorism. We started our study some years ago in a very successful attempt to forecast the outcome of disputes between nations\, not only if there might be a conflict\, but also when that might take place. Our data cam e from forty-five years’ worth of financial records taken from the archi ves of the United Nations and the International Monetary Fund. We based our reasoning on Richardson’s theory of arms races which was originally formulated in the 1940s. LOCATION:Lighthill Institute\, UCL URL:http://www.ucl.ac.uk/lims/events.htm ATTACH:http://www.ucl.ac.uk/lims/events.htm CATEGORIES: LAST-MODIFIED:20120709T145406Z ORGANIZER;CN="": END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR