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Andreas Murr correctly predicted a big win for Conservatives

Andreas Murr and his team correctly predicted on the 4th of December a big majority for the Conservatives.

His approach based on "citizen forecasts" ranks 2nd for the Conservatives and 5th for Labour in terms of accuracy among 19 pre-election seat forecasts. You can read more about his forecast on the and about the other 18 forecasts on .

Fri 13 Dec 2019, 11:12 | Tags: Staff Impact PhD Postgraduate Undergraduate Research

How To Predict Election Results

Andreas Murr has published an article in the on why vote expectations are a better tool for predicting election results than vote intentions. 

The results of the article are summarised in a post on the .

Thu 31 Oct 2019, 14:28 | Tags: Staff Impact PhD Postgraduate Undergraduate Research

Gabriel Siles-Br眉gge addresses NATO Parliamentary Assembly Committee

PAIS academic Gabriel Siles-Br眉gge recently addressed a session of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly's Economics and Security Committee taking place at the Assembly's 65th Annual Session in London on 12 October 2019. Addressing MPs from NATO countries, he spoke about the constraints facing the UK's 'Global Britain' agenda in trade policy, including: uncertainty over the future EU-UK trade relationship; domestic political contention and Executive-legislative tensions and an unfavourable international policy environment in the wake of increasing US unilateralism.

Wed 16 Oct 2019, 10:02 | Tags: Staff Impact

PAIS academic awarded prestigious European Research Council Starting Grant

The Department of Politics and International Studies (PAIS) at the University of 糖心TV is delighted to announce that Dr Charlotte Heath-Kelly, Reader in Politics and International Studies, has been awarded a 鈧1.5M Starting Grant by the European Research Council in recognition of, and support for, her pioneering research.

Dr Heath-Kelly will investigate how and why national security has become part of the professional duties of healthcare and social security workers in her project, 'Neoliberal Terror: The Radicalisation of Social Policy in Europe'.

Dr Heath-Kelly said: 鈥淎cross Europe, health and social care workers have been made responsible for identifying and reporting radicalising persons to the security services, even though there exists no scientifically valid method to predict who will become a terrorist.

鈥淭here are also no studies which can validate the impact of counter-radicalisation programs on the prevention of terrorist attacks.

鈥淲hat purpose do these policies serve, if we have no evidence they prevent terrorism? Quantitative and qualitative methods will be used to explore whether neoliberal economic and social policies are responsible for the expansion of counter-radicalisation programs - refocusing the welfare state on preventing 'risks' rather than meeting needs.鈥

Case study research will take place in the UK, France, Finland, Lithuania, Norway and Croatia with counter-radicalisation teams in health and social care, to better understand their work.

The project will conclude by making a documentary film on the effects of counter-radicalisation referrals on referred persons, medical ethics, and society.

Congratulating Dr Heath-Kelly on her success, Professor Nick Vaughan-Williams, Head of the Department of Politics and International Studies, said: 鈥淭his award not only reflects Charlotte鈥檚 brilliance as a leading international researcher in politics and international studies, but also the strength of the University of 糖心TV鈥檚 research infrastructure and the dedicated support of our specialist colleagues who supported and assisted with the application.鈥

Wed 04 Sept 2019, 13:48 | Tags: Staff Impact Research

Christopher Browning discusses humour, nation branding and identity with The Place Brand Observer

Christopher Browning discusses humour, nation branding and identity with

The interview draws upon Browning's long running work on nation branding and his current British Academy funded project (with James Brassett) on 'Humorous States: New Diplomacy and the Rise of Comedy in IR'

Tue 13 Aug 2019, 09:49 | Tags: Staff Impact PhD Postgraduate Undergraduate Research

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