ࡱ>  \p Mark Harrison Ba= =%F8X@"1Tahoma1.Times New Roman1.Times New Roman1.Times New Roman1.Times New Roman1Courier1Courier1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Symbol1QTahoma""#,##0;\-""#,##0""#,##0;[Red]\-""#,##0""#,##0.00;\-""#,##0.00#""#,##0.00;[Red]\-""#,##0.005*0_-""* #,##0_-;\-""* #,##0_-;_-""* "-"_-;_-@_-,)'_-* #,##0_-;\-* #,##0_-;_-* "-"_-;_-@_-=,8_-""* #,##0.00_-;\-""* #,##0.00_-;_-""* "-"??_-;_-@_-4+/_-* #,##0.00_-;\-* #,##0.00_-;_-* "-"??_-;_-@_- \$#.00 %#.00 #.00 #,##0. \$#. General_)0_) 0.0_) 0.0%0.0 0.000 0.0000                + )  , *        @ !          #      !        #     !  !  #                 !  !           $  !    # !   !   ! ! #  $    #    !   !  #       #       #    #  Comma0 Currency0 Date Fixed Heading 1 Heading 2 Total8 ``i̜̙3f3333f3ffff333ff333f33f33BBB\`eTables Convergence TransitionMaddison?LeagueSheet1,!_Regression_Intjb(  3  @@   ETable 1-1. Population, gross domestic product, territory, and empiresAof the Allied and Axis powers within contemporary frontiers, 1938=Popul- TerritoryGDP,ation, internationalmilliontotal,sq. km dollars andthou.per 1990 pricespeople$ bnhead, $- Allied powersUKFrance UK dominionsCzecho-SlovakiaPolandFrench colonies UK colonies Allied total two great powers Axis powersGermany AustriaItalyJapanJapanese coloniesItalian colonies Axis total 3 great powersChina (exc. Manchuria) Allies/Axis great powers onlyChina/Japanese empireNotesD Countries and groups of countries are ranked under each subheadingGin descending order of their GDP per head. "Colonies" include League of>Nations mandates and other dependencies. Figures are given for7territory within 1938 frontiers, except as noted below.F UK dominions: Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Union of South Africa.*Canada includes Newfoundland and Labrador.C Czecho-Slovakia: including the Sudetenland (annexed by Germany inSeptember 1938).C French colonies: mainly in the Near East, Africa, and Indo-China.J UK colonies (including joint Anglo-French and Anglo-Egyptian colonies): Gmany countries in the Near East, south and southeast Asia, Africa, the Caribbean, and Oceania.J Germany: the geographical entity of the Versailles treaty, excluding theSudetenland and Austria.< Japanese colonies: Korea, Formosa (Taiwan), and Manchuria.: Italian colonies: mainly Libya and Abyssinia (Ethiopia).Sources PopulationK All figures from Maddison (1995), appendix A, except that Czech-Slovakia,HPoland, Germany, China (except Manchuria), Manchuria itself, and variousGcolonial populations, all within contemporary frontiers, are taken from League of Nations (1940), 14-19.GDPJ Population multiplied by GDP per head (for Czecho-Slovakia, GDP per head of 1937). GDP per headB All figures from Maddison (1995), appendix D, except as follows.I UK dominions: for South Africa, the white population (20 percent of theEtotal, from League of Nations (1940), 14-19) is assigned the same GDPDper head as the average for Australia, New Zealand, and Canada, and Gthe black and coloured population is credited with the African regionalaverage.K French colonies are divided among Indo-China, Algeria, and other (mainly EAfrican) colonies. The GDP per head of French Indo-China is based on Gthat of Vietnam (see above), and that of Algeria is derived in the sameGway. France's other colonies are credited with a GDP per head based on the African regional average.G UK colonies are divided among south Asia, Africa, and other. The GDP Gper head of south Asian colonies is a weighted average of that for 1938C of Burma, India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh within modern frontiers.DThe GDP per head of African colonies is taken as that of Maddison's DAfrican regional average, and that of other (mainly southeast Asian Kcolonies, but also of those in the Pacific, and Caribbean) is based on the Asian regional average.G Italian colonies: the weighted average of GDPs per head of Libya and Ethiopia, derived as above.I Japanese colonies: for Korea and Formosa, GDPs per head are those givenJby Maddison for South Korea and Taiwan; that of Manchuria is based on his China average.M League of Nations (1940), 14-19. All figures are within boundaries of 1938,Gexcept that Germany excludes Austria and the Sudetenland; the frontiers:of Czecho-Slovakia are those of the beginning of the year.Territory per thousand" Territory divided by population.HTable 1-2. National and colonial boundaries of 1942, showing populationsand GDPs of 1938Allied total, 1938 China, 1938Net gain, 1938-42..Allied total, 1942 excluding ChinaGains, 1938-42USAUSSR US colonies Near East and North AfricaLosses, 1938-42 Occupied USSRAxis total, 1938Axis total, 1942 Continued.Table 1-2 (continued).Axis powers (continued) Denmark NetherlandsBelgiumNorwayFinlandGreeceHungary Baltic statesBulgaria YugoslaviaRomaniaDutch coloniesThailandAllies/Axis, 1942 exc. ChinaNoteThe Allied powersF Between 1938 and 1942 the UK was joined by the USA, USSR, and China Ain the alliance which would eventually become the United Nations.# USA: including Alaska and Hawaii.C USSR: the territory of 1938, excluding the annexations of 1939-40K(eastern Poland, Bessarabia and northern Bukovina from Romania, a strip of /Finnish territory, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania).) US colonies: Philippines, Puerto Rico. G China: China, already partially dismembered by Japan, was a doubtful Fmilitary asset, being as much a battleground (with its own continuing Lcivil war as well) as a power. In the table, Allied totals are computed withand without China.Allied gains and lossesJ Over the period between 1938 and 1942, the following changes transpired 8in terms of military defeat, occupation, and annexation.N Near East and North Africa: the British took effective control of the former2Italian colonies as well as Egypt, Iran, and Iraq.@ France, Czecho-Slovakia, and Poland were defeated and occupiedFdirectly or (in the case of Vichy France) incorporated into the Germanspace.C Occupied USSR: shown here is only that part (see above) which hadKbeen subject to Soviet jurisdiction in 1938; the rest is counted elsewhere.2 US colonies: the Philippines were lost to Japan.N French colonies: in wartime these fell technically under the jurisdiction ofGthe Vichy regime, but (apart from French Indo-China, dealt with below) Hwere mostly remote from the Axis economies and played little role in theEwar efforts of either side. In the same way, although the Allies wereBjoined by the governments-in-exile of Belgium and the Netherlands,ABelgian and Dutch colonies were either seized by Japan (the Dutch#East Indies) or lost to both sides.G UK colonies: Burma, Borneo, Hong Kong, and Malaya were lost to Japan.Axis gains and lossesC Between 1938 and 1942, Germany was joined on the eastern front byFinland, Hungary, and Romania.A Germany and her allies conquered Denmark, Netherlands, Belgium,BFrance, Norway, Czecho-Slovakia, Greece, Poland, the Baltic states7and other Soviet territories, Bulgaria, and Yugoslavia.G Japan seized the Phillippines from the United States, the Dutch East LIndies, Thailand, the British colonies in East Asia listed above, and French Indo-China.A By the end of 1942, however, Italy had lost her African empire.K In most respects, as for table 1-1. However, some new countries enter the*table, and some have to be taken in parts.M US colonies: the weighted average for Puerto Rico and the Philippines. For HPuerto Rico, GDP per head in 1950 is interpolated on the South American ?regional average for sample countries in 1938 given by MaddisonF(1995), 212 (the same procedure, using the African and Asian regional Iaverages, is used below for Zaire, Algeria, Vietnam, Libya, and Ethiopia,,and in table 1-2 for Egypt, Iran, and Iraq).? Thailand: GDP per head and population are taken from Maddison(1995), appendices A and D.G Egypt, Iran, and Iraq: population and GDP per head, given for 1950 byFMaddison (1995), appendix F, are interpolated on his African and Asian(regional averages respectively for 1938.E USSR: 1938 population within contemporary frontiers is from Andreev,BDarskii, Khar'kova (1990), 41 (converted to mid-year), and GDP perhead as Maddison.@In 1941-2 the USSR lost 1,926,000 square kilometres of territoryFoccupied on Jan. 1, 1939 by 84,852,000 people (TsSU (1959), 39) - say,I84 million as of mid-1938. However, in 1938 other jurisdictions (Polish, DLatvian, Lithuanian, Estonian, Romanian, etc.) had covered more thanG21.5 million of the 84 million, who must therefore be excluded to avoidDdouble-counting. The same applies to 948,000 of the 1,926,000 squareDkilometres. It is < assumed that the 1938 GDP per head of the occupied4territories was the same as for the USSR as a whole.M Dutch colonies: the GDP per head of the Dutch East Indies is based on that of Indonesia.RTable 1-3. Wartime GDP of the great powers, 1939-45, in international dollars and 1990 prices (billions)Austria USSR/Germanyl For 1938, see table 1-1. Other years are interpolated on index numbers as follows: UK, table 2-1 (col. 4);lUSA, table 3.1 (col. 4); Germany, table 4.1 (col. 1); Italy, table 5-1 (col. 3); Japan, table 6-1 (col. 1); cUSSR, table 7-7, part (A). Figures for the USSR for 1939 are interpolated on population within 1938afrontiers on the assumption that GDP per head remained unchanged compared with 1938 (for evidencejon this score see Harrison (1994), 269; Maddison (1995), 200). For France and Austria see Maddison (1995), appendix B.4Table 1-4. The main neutral-country trading blocs of2the wartime coalitions, showing population and GDPof 1938Allied trading blocIrelandIndependent states of Central and South AmericaAxis trading bloc SwitzerlandSwedenSpainPortugalTurkeyPortuguese coloniesSpanish colonies8 Ireland, although neutral, could scarcely avoid a high5degree of commercial integration into the British war6economy. The only significant neutral trading partners0of the wartime Allies were in central and south 2America, but the colonial dependencies are already3accounted or otherwise dealt with in table 1-2), so3only the independent states remain to be dealt with8here: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa3Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Guatemala,+Haiti, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama,.Paraguay, Peru, Salvador, Uruguay, Venezuela.2 Spanish colonies: mainly Spanish Guinea, SpanishMorocco, and Spanish Sahara.3 Portugese colonies: mainly Angola and Mozambique,4but also territories elsewhere in Africa, India, and east Asia.. As tables 1-1 and 1-2. Populations are taken0from League of Nations (1940) where not given by0Maddison (1995). GDPs per head are from Maddison0(1995), except that, where not available for the.territories specified, the regional average is,assumed, weighted where necessary (as in the+case of Portuguese colonies) by population.@Table 1-5. Armed forces of the great powers, 1939-45 (thousands) Allies/Axis: eastern front western and Pacific fronts USA, table 3-11 (col. 3). UK, table 2-13.` France: according to Kedward (1995), 401, there were "just under 5 million" in the French Armydafter mobilisation in September 1939, with "a further two million possible soldiers available in the7Empire", which I assume to have been mobilised by 1940. USSR, as table 7-8.2 Germany: Frster, Messenger, Petter (1995), 468./ Italy: personal communication (Vera Zamagni).6 Japan, table 6-9 (the rounded average of cols 1, 2).^ The Allied and Axis totals sum the preceding rows in each column; however, the Axis total is`based on the average of the alternative Japanese series. The ratios of Allied to Axis forces on %each front are calculated as follows.] Western and Pacific fronts: for 1939 UK and France versus Germany. In 1940, the French and cItalian forces are included, each with a 50 percent weight since Italy joined the war in mid-year, Zat the same time as the French surrendered. In 1942-3, USA and UK versus one tenth of the aGerman armed forces, plus Italy, plus Japan (the average of the alternative series), but in 1943 bthe Italian forces are given a weight of two-thirds corresponding to the eight months of fighting Ybefore the Italian surrender. In 1944-5, USA and UK versus one third of the German armed forces, plus Japan.X Eastern front: USSR versus Germany, assuming that Germany allocated 90 percent to the 9eastern front in 1941-3, but only two-thirds in 1944-5. JTable 1-6. War production of the great powers, 1939 to August 1945 (units)Total No. of months ThousandsRifles, carbinesMachine pistols Machine gunsGunsMortars Tanks and SPGCombat aircraftUnitsMajor naval vesselsMajor naval vesselsaTable 1-6 (continued). Submarinesa Including September, 1945.b Including armoured cars.c Ground and air munitions (SPG are self-propelled guns), except Italy: IVMV, vol. 12 (1982), 168, L181, 183, 200, 202.i Major naval vessels (excluding landing craft, torpedo boats, and other auxiliary craft), except Italy: Overy (1995), 1060.< Italy, all figures: personal communication (Vera Zamagni).5Table 1-7. War production of the great powers, 1942-4Rifles,MachineMachine TanksCombatMajorcarbinespistolsguns(thou.)aircraftnavalvesselsThe Axis powersSourcei Calculated from table 1-6. Two thirds of Italian production between mid-1940 and mid-1943 is assumed tobhave taken place within the period 1942-4. For ground and air munitions, two thirds of German war kproduction are assigned to the eastern front. No account is taken of the contribution of the western AlliesTto Soviet munitions supply, or of the Italian contribution to Axis forces in Russia.WTable 1-8. The military burden, 1939-44 (military outlays, per cent of national income)At current prices:At constant prices:I USA (percent of GNP at current and 1958 prices): table 3-1 (cols. 3, 6)Q UK (percent of net national expenditure at current prices): table 2-6 (col. 2).8 USSR (percent of GNP at 1937 factor cost): table 7-11.R Germany (percent of GNP at current and 1939 prices): calculated from table 4-16.NFor war outlays at 1939 prices the same deflator is assumed as for government Poutlays generally; by 1943, war outlays accounted for 96 per cent of the latter.^ Italy (per cent of GDP at current prices): table 5-14 (col. 22) shows real military outlays Qdivided by real GDP, both converted from current values by the same GDP deflator.@ Japan (percent of GDP at current prices): table 6-11 (col. 5).0Table 1-11. War losses attributable to physical destruction (percent of assets)HumanPhysical assetsassetsnationalindustrywealthfixed18-19% Human assets2 USA, Germany: total war deaths divided by prewar,population from Urlanis (1971), 295; for the UK: chapter 2 (p. 000). USSR: table 7-13. Italy: chapter 5 (p. 000).. Japan: excess deaths, 1941-5, compared with 1940 population, from table 6-8./ UK (physical destruction, per cent of 1938): table 2-20.0 Germany (war destruction in the postwar Anglo-%American occupation zone, percent of 1936): table 4-20.1 Japan (war damage, per cent of the sum of 1945 -assets plus war damage): table 6-14 (col. 5).0 Figures are war damage to fixed assets and war0deaths amongst the working population; they take1no account of wartime replacement of either fixedor human capital.5Table 1-10. GDP per head of the great powers, 1938-87(selected years)%GDP per head, dollars and 1990 prices"Catching up with the United States)GDP per head, percent of US GDP per head: b-convergence ;Spearman rank correlation coefficient of income growth over=the previous period with income level in the previous period:Seven countries exc. USSR s-convergence *Coefficients of variation of income level: exc. USA, USSR5Taken or calculated from Maddison (1995), appendix D.8Table 1-12. GDP per head of the great powers, 1938-1987,(selected years (dollars and 1990 prices)Dollars and 1990 pricesRank Exc. USSRExc. USA, USSRChange over previous periodSpearmanDsigmaD2NAreas which changed handsGDP/AreaationheadUS PhilippinesAsia IndochinaDutch Dutch IndiesAfricaEgyptIranIraqGDP of empiresLibyaGDP per head of empires Puerto Rico US average S. AfricaANZACUK dominions averageS. Asia other AfricaotherUK colonies averageZaireAlgeriaVietnamFrench average IndonesiaEthiopiaItalian average Korea, Taiwan ManchuriaJapanese average<= African coloniesAsian coloniesPortugese average Asia averageAfrica averageS. American averagePopulation of empiresUS totalUK dominions totalUK colonies totalother (mainly Africa) French total Italian totalJapanese totalPortugese totalGDP/head, 1990 frontiers AustraliaCanada New ZealandCzechoslovakiaIndia/BangladeshBurmaIndiaIndia/Pakistan Korea, S. China/Taiwan Cote d'IvoireGhanaKenyaMoroccoNigeriaTanzania$Population, mid-year, 1990 frontiersGerman populationGreater Germany W. GermanySudetenland, etc(USSR population (contemporary frontiers)Jan. 1(A)(B)mid-yearOccupied BessarabiaBukovina LithuaniaLatviaEstoniaPopulation, other ANZAC S. Asia Korea, TaiwanGDP, great powers National currency $int of 1990sq. km.end-1938 World total#Colonies, dependencies and mandatesUK and dominions' Asia Africa otherFrenchBelgianItalianJapaneseSpanish PortugueseDanish NorwegianLiberiaTangierBelgian coloniesB. CongoBritish colonies Gold CoastGambia Sierra Leone Basutoland Bechuanaland Mauritius NyasalandUganda Rhodesia, N. Rhodesia, S. St Helena Seychelles Somaliland SwazilandZanzibarAnglo-EgyptianSudan Ceuta, etc. Sp. Guinea Sp. MoroccoSp. Sahara, etc.Fr. Equatorial AfricaFr. West Africa Somali Coast Madagascar Fr. MoroccoReunionTunisIt. East AfricaAngola Cape Verde P. Guinea MozambiqueSt ThomeBelgian mandates Ruanda-UrundiBritish mandates Cameroons TanganyikaTogolandFrench mandatesS. African mandates S.W. Africa North America NewfoundlandDanish dependency Greenland US dependencyAlaskaFrench dependency St PierreNewf. dependencyLabradorCentral AmericaMexico Costa RicaCubaDominican Rep. GuatemalaHaitiHonduras NicaraguaPanamaSalvadorBahamasBarbados Windward Is. Leeward Is.JamaicaBermuda Br. HondurasTrinidad Virgin Is.Panama Canal zone Guadeloupe MartiniqueCuracao South America ArgentinaBoliviaBrazilChileColombiaEcuadorParaguayPeruUruguay Venezuela Falkland Is. Br. Guiana Fr. Guiana Inini terr.SurinamAsia (exc. USSR) AfghanistanArabia Bahrein Is.Bhutan"China (incl. Tibet, exc. ManchuriaIndia, exc. BurmaNepal Aden, SocotraBorneoCeylon MaldivesCyprus Hong KongKuria Muria Is.Malaya Fr. India Kwangchow Wan Aegean Is.KoreaTaiwanKwantungSakhalinP. IndiaMacaoTimor Palestine Trans-JordanSyria, LebanonEurope, exc. USSRAlbaniaGermany, incl. AustriaAndorra Faroe Is.DanzigSpain, incl. CanariesIceland Liechtenstein LuxemburgMonacoRoumania San MarinoVaticanBritish dependencies GibraltarMaltaNorwegian dependencies SpitzbergenOceaniaAustralian coloniesNorfolkPapuaBrtish coloniesFiji Is.Gilbert, Ellice Is.Brit. Solomon Is.TongaGuamHawaii Am. SamoaFr. Settlements New CaledoniaAnglo-French colonies New HebridesNew Zealand coloniesCook Is., etc.Australian mandates New GuineaNauruJapanese mandatesCaroline Is., etc.New Zealand mandatesW. Samoa 0T  u`tAvI]cw.I]1+'; G[ ! 1  6&!:~!!#%m'[)o ,+@]-q(7/KG17255uv6f8 9o|: J<: > `@\AL6 BǚCC[EKgGW`IPIJ=L-_MONyVOFlOOWPGP6Q$QeR3 R'SS!TɜTjUhU6lUjY iYuY\Z* pZ =[ [d [ r\@ \ T]" _] _Q^ %{mعT00{dع{{mع0e0 {wtbT0@[z0O{0BT04'ǀ0(1T04pz0j:S0j\0jFXTB<J02QAfrican coloniesAsian coloniesPortugese average Asia averageAfrica averageS. American averagePopulation of empiresUS totalUK dominions totalUK colonies totalother (mainly Africa) French total Italian totalJapanese totalPortugese totalGDP/head, 1990 frontiers AustraliaCanada New ZealandCzechoslovakiaIndia/BangladeshBurmaIndiaIndia/Pakistan Korea, S. 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