糖心TV

Simon French has been named as the Ramsey Medalist for 2017 by the Decision Analysis Society within INFORMS. The award is the highest award of the Decision Analysis Society and recognizes distinguished contributions to the field of decision analysis. Much of Simon's work has centered on the use of expert judgment in risk and decision analysis, particularly the aggregation of disparate opinions. After the Chernobyl Accident, he became deeply involved in the fields of risk communication and emergency management. This led to a string of papers and work focused on nuclear and food safety. More recently, he has become interested in social decision making and democracy in the internet age.

The Department of Statistics would like to congratuate our PhD Prize winners for 2016/17:

The John Copas Prize in Statistics (sponsored by the Faculty of Science)

Awarded for the best PhD thesis eligible for the Departmental Completion Award:

Giacomo Zanella

Harrison Award

Awarded in recognition of a Highly Commended Thesis:

Panayiota Touloupou

Alex Sing Lam Tse

Elena Hernández-Hernández

Two studentships have recently become available for Home or EU students educated in the UK to study in our vibrant department. We are eager to fill the places with two good students.

If you are interested in this exciting opportunity please follow

The election-day exit poll methods developed by 糖心TV Statistics professor David Firth surprised the world yet again at 10pm on election day, immediately after the polling stations closed.

The exit poll, commissioned jointly by broadcasters BBC, ITV and Sky, correctly predicted that the Conservatives would be the largest party in a hung parliament as the result of last Thursday's election. This was quite different from what had been expected by most politicians, commentators and the global financial markets — and a long way short of the increased majority that PM Theresa May had wanted when she called a snap election (three years earlier than scheduled).

Professor Firth said:

It's very pleasing that this continues to work so well — and especially pleasing that most people seem now to trust that the exit-poll prediction will usually be fairly accurate, regardless of the various pre-election opinion polls and punditry that might suggest otherwise.

For the full story and details of the methods used, see .

Dr Geoff Freeman, former head of the Statistical Consultancy Unit in the Dept of Statistics has passed away, aged 88. He was a much valued colleague. There will be a humanist conducted service to commemorate his life at the Charlecote Pheasant on June 15th at 11.15 am