Events in MathSys and Complexity Science
This is a calendar page detailing events within the MathSys CDT. It also acts as a booking diary for the Seminar Room D1.07. To book D1.07 please email Sheetal.Sharma@warwick.ac.uk
Please note that your event booking is for D1.07 only. The adjacent common room is a private area for the MathSys Centre that cannot used as part of your booking.
MathSys CDT events have priority for D1.07 room bookings.
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Informal Complexity Forum: Michael Small (Hong Kong)
Title: Complex network models for real epidemics
Abstract: It is well known that an infectious agent propagating on a scale-free network will persist even for vanishingly small transmission probabilities. In this talk I will present some recent work from my group on the transmission dynamics of real disease outbreaks: the 2005 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak in Hong Kong; and the current, persistent, worldwide outbreak of Avian Influenza (AI) in birds. I will present data from the SARS outbreak in HK to show that it can be modelled well as transmission on a small-world and possibly scale-free network. For the current AI outbreak our data shows that transmission is consistent with an infectious agent on a scale-free, but not small-world network. I will discuss the differences between these two results and propose a model for the evolution of scale-free, but not small-world, networks.