Publications
Cavallaro, M; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ; Todkill, D; Keeling, MJ (2023) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 20 20230410
Littlecott, H; Herd, C; O'Rourke, J; Chaparro, LT; Keeling, M; Rubin, GJ; Fearon, E (2023) PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 381 20230131
Hill, EM; Prosser, NS; Brown, PE; Ferguson, E; Green, MJ; Kaler, J; Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ (2023) PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE 219 106019
Brand, SPC; Cavallaro, M; Cumming, F; Turner, C; Florence, I; Blomquist, P; Hilton, J; Guzman-Rincon, LM; House, T; Nokes, DJ; Keeling, MJ (2023) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 14
Guzmán-Rincón, LM; Hill, EM; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ (2023) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS 72 1413-1434
Helekal, D; Keeling, M; Grad, YH; Didelot, X (2023) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 20 20230074
Keeling, MJ; Moore, S; Penman, BS; Hill, EM (2023) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 14 740
Eames, KTD; Tang, ML; Hill, EM; Tildesley, MJ; Read, JM; Keeling, MJ; Gog, JR (2023) EPIDEMICS 42 100659
Pellis, L; Birrell, PJ; Blake, J; Overton, CE; Scarabel, F; Stage, HB; Brooks-Pollock, E; Danon, L; Hall, I; House, TA; Keeling, MJ; Read, JM; JUNIPER Consortium; De Angelis, D (2022) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY 185 S112-S130
Cavallaro, M; Coelho, J; Ready, D; Decraene, V; Lamagni, T; McCarthy, ND; Todkill, D; Keeling, MJ (2022) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 18 e1010726
Moore, S; Hill, EM; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ (2022) NATURE MEDICINE 28 2416
Keeling, MJ (2023) JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY 556 111299
Hilton, J; Riley, H; Pellis, L; Aziza, R; Brand, SPC; Kombe, IK; Ojal, J; Parisi, A; Keeling, MJ; Nokes, DJ; Manson-Sawko, R; House, T (2022) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 18 e1010390
Keeling, MJ; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ; Hill, EM; Moore, S (2022) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 13 4924
Tildesley, MJ; Vassall, A; Riley, S; Jit, M; Sandmann, F; Hill, EM; Thompson, RN; Atkins, BD; Edmunds, J; Dyson, L; Keeling, MJ (2022) ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE 9 211746
Orangi, S et al. (2022) BMJ GLOBAL HEALTH 7 e009430
Prosser, NS; Hill, EM; Armstrong, D; Gow, L; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ; Kaler, J; Ferguson, E; Green, MJ (2022) VETERINARY RECORD 191 e1854
Leng, TY; Hill, EM; Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ; Thompson, RN (2022) COMMUNICATIONS MEDICINE 2 74
Hill, EM; Prosser, NS; Ferguson, E; Kaler, J; Green, MJ; Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ (2022) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 18 e1010235
Carson, J; Ledda, A; Ferretti, L; Keeling, M; Didelot, X (2022) JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY 548 111186
Keeling, MJ; Moore, SE (2022) BMC MEDICINE 20 196
Leng, T; Hill, EM; Thompson, RN; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ; Dyson, L (2022) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 18
Huang, CI; Crump, RE; Brown, PE; Spencer, SEF; Miaka, EM; Shampa, C; Keeling, MJ; Rock, KS (2022) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 13 1448
Prosser, NS; Green, MJ; Ferguson, E; Tildesley, MJ; Hill, EM; Keeling, MJ; Kaler, J (2022) JOURNAL OF DAIRY SCIENCE 105 3559-3573
Leng, T; Hill, EM; Holmes, A; Southall, E; Thompson, RN; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ; Dyson, L (2022) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 13 1106
Antillon, M; Huang, CI; Crump, RE; Brown, PE; Snijders, R; Miaka, EM; Keeling, MJ; Rock, KS; Tediosi, F (2022) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 13 1051
Keeling, MJ; Dyson, L; Guyver-Fletcher, G; Holmes, A; Semple, MG; Tildesley, MJ; Hill, EM (2022) STATISTICAL METHODS IN MEDICAL RESEARCH 31 1716-1737
Keeling, MJ; Guyver-Fletcher, G; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ; Hill, EM; Medley, GF (2021) EPIDEMICS 37 100526
Brand, SPC et al. (2021) SCIENCE 374 989
Davis, CN; Keeling, MJ; Rock, KS (2021) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 18 20210419
Dyson, L; Hill, EM; Moore, S; Curran-Sebastian, J; Tildesley, MJ; Lythgoe, KA; House, T; Pellis, L; Keeling, MJ (2021) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 12 5730
Tennant, WSD; Cardinale, E; Cêtre-Sossah, C; Moutroifi, Y; Le Godais, G; Colombi, D; Spencer, SEF; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ; Charafouddine, O; Colizza, V; Edmunds, WJ; Métras, R (2021) NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 12 5593
Aliee, M; Keeling, MJ; Rock, KS (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1009367
Hill, EM; Keeling, MJ (2021) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 18 20210214
Monaghan, EM; Prosser, NS; Witt, J; Lewis, KE; Nabb, E; Keeling, MJ; Purdy, KJ; Green, LE (2021) FRONTIERS IN VETERINARY SCIENCE 8 713927
Brooks-Pollock, E; Read, JM; House, T; Medley, GF; Keeling, MJ; Danon, L (2021) PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 376 20200273
Brooks-Pollock, E; Read, JM; McLean, AR; Keeling, MJ; Danon, L (2021) PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 376 20200276
Danon, L; Brooks-Pollock, E; Bailey, M; Keeling, M (2021) PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 376 20200272
Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ; Atkins, BD; Penman, B; Southall, E; Guyver-Fletcher, G; Holmes, A; McKimm, H; Gorsich, EE; Hill, EM; Dyson, L (2021) PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 376 20200261
Hill, EM; Atkins, BD; Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ; Dyson, L (2021) EPIDEMICS 36 100476
Parisi, A; Brand, SPC; Hilton, J; Aziza, R; Keeling, MJ; Nokes, DJ (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1009090
Davis, CN; Castaño, MS; Aliee, M; Patel, S; Miaka, EM; Keeling, MJ; Spencer, SEF; Chitnis, N; Rock, KS (2021) CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES 72 S146-S151
Southall, E; Holmes, A; Hill, EM; Atkins, BD; Leng, T; Thompson, RN; Dyson, L; Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ (2021) BMC MEDICINE 19 137
Cavallaro, M; Moiz, H; Keeling, MJ; McCarthy, ND (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1009121
Hill, EM; Atkins, BD; Keeling, MJ; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1009058
Moore, S; Hill, EM; Tildesley, MJ; Dyson, L; Keeling, MJ (2021) LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES 21 793-802
Moore, S; Hill, EM; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1008849
Davis, CN; Rock, KS; Antillón, M; Miaka, EM; Keeling, MJ (2021) BMC MEDICINE 19 86
Retkute, R; Dilger, E; Hamilton, JGC; Keeling, MJ; Courtenay, O (2021) MICROORGANISMS 9 602
Aliee, M; Castaño, S; Davis, CN; Patel, S; Miaka, EM; Spencer, SEF; Keeling, MJ; Chitnis, N; Rock, KS (2021) TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE 115 245-252
Staniszewska, S; Hill, EM; Grant, R; Grove, P; Porter, J; Shiri, T; Tulip, S; Whitehurst, J; Wright, C; Datta, S; Petrou, S; Keeling, M (2021) PATIENT-PATIENT CENTERED OUTCOMES RESEARCH 14 447-447
MacPherson, A; Keeling, MJ; Otto, SP (2021) THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY 137 10-21
MacPherson, A; Keeling, MJ; Otto, SP (2021) EVOLUTION 75 582-599
Möhlmann, TWR; Keeling, MJ; Wennergren, U; Favia, G; Santman-Berends, I; Takken, W; Koenraadt, CJM; Brand, SPC (2021) SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 11 1892
Staniszewska, S; Hill, EM; Grant, R; Grove, P; Porter, J; Shiri, T; Tulip, S; Whitehurst, J; Wright, C; Datta, S; Petrou, S; Keeling, M (2021) PATIENT-PATIENT CENTERED OUTCOMES RESEARCH 14 435-445
Mateen, BA; Wilde, H; Dennis, JM; Duncan, A; Thomas, N; McGovern, A; Denaxas, S; Keeling, M; Vollmer, S (2021) BMJ OPEN 11 e042945
Crump, RE; Huang, CI; Knock, ES; Spencer, SEF; Brown, PE; Miaka, EM; Shampa, C; Keeling, MJ; Rock, KS (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1008532
Keeling, MJ; Hill, EM; Gorsich, EE; Penman, B; Guyver-Fletcher, G; Holmes, A; Leng, T; McKimm, H; Tamborrino, M; Dyson, L; Tildesley, MJ (2021) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 17 e1008619
Aliee, M; Rock, KS; Keeling, MJ (2020) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 17 20200540
Keeling, MJ; Hollingsworth, TD; Read, JM (2020) JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH 74 861-866
Hill, EM; Petrou, S; Forster, H; de Lusignan, S; Yonova, I; Keeling, MJ (2020) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 16 e1008278
Leng, T; Keeling, MJ (2020) JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY 500 110328
Moran, E; Robinson, E; Green, C; Keeling, M; Collyer, B (2020) JOURNAL OF ANTIMICROBIAL CHEMOTHERAPY 75 2677-2680
White, CF; Pellis, L; Keeling, MJ; Penman, BS (2020) INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 83 104344
Thompson, RN et al. (2020) PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 287 20201405
Hilton, J; Keeling, MJ (2020) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 16 e1008031
Tennant, WSD; Tildesley, MJ; Spencer, SEF; Keeling, MJ (2020) PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES 287 20200538
Kura, K; Collyer, BS; Toor, J; Truscott, JE; Hollingsworth, TD; Keeling, MJ; Anderson, RM (2020) VACCINE 38 4379-4386
Brand, SPC; Munywoki, P; Walumbe, D; Keeling, MJ; Nokes, DJ (2020) ELIFE 9 e47003
Castaño, MS; Ndeffo-Mbah, ML; Rock, KS; Palmer, C; Knock, E; Miaka, EM; Ndung'u, JM; Torr, S; Verlé, P; Spencer, SEF; Galvani, A; Bever, C; Keeling, MJ; Chitnis, N (2020) PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES 14 e0007976
Meakin, SR; Keeling, MJ (2019) JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY 483 109991
Collyer, BS; Turner, HC; Hollingsworth, TD; Keeling, MJ (2019) PARASITES & VECTORS 12 499
Hill, EM; Petrou, S; de Lusignan, S; Yonova, I; Keeling, MJ (2019) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 15 e1007096
Davis, CN; Rock, KS; Miaka, EM; Keeling, MJ (2019) PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES 13 e0007838
Tildesley, MJ; Brand, S; Pollock, EB; Bradbury, NV; Werkman, M; Keeling, MJ (2019) NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 2 834-840
Hilton, J; Keeling, MJ (2019) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 16 20190317
Datta, S; Pink, J; Medley, GF; Petrou, S; Staniszewska, S; Underwood, M; Sonnenberg, P; Keeling, MJ (2019) BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES 19 552
Castaño, MS; Aliee, M; Miaka, EM; Keeling, MJ; Chitnis, N; Rock, KS (2019) JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES 221 S539-S545
Meakin, SR; Keeling, MJ (2019) EPIDEMICS 26 58-67
Leng, T; Keeling, MJ (2018) EPIDEMICS 25 35-46
Datta, S; Mercer, CH; Keeling, MJ (2018) PLOS ONE 13 e0206501
Retkute, R; Jewell, CP; Van Boeckel, TP; Zhang, G; Xiao, XM; Thanapongtharm, W; Keeling, M; Gilbert, M; Tildesley, MJ (2018) PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE 159 171-181
Meadows, AJ; Mundt, CC; Keeling, MJ; Tildesley, MJ (2018) ECOSPHERE 9 e02294
Probert, WJM; Jewell, CP; Werkman, M; Fonnesbeck, CJ; Goto, Y; Runge, MC; Sekiguchi, S; Shea, K; Keeling, MJ; Ferrari, MJ; Tildesley, MJ (2018) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 14 e1006202
Rock, KS; Ndeffo-Mbah, ML; Castaño, S; Palmer, C; Pandey, A; Atkins, KE; Ndung'u, JM; Hollingsworth, TD; Galvani, A; Bever, C; Chitnis, N; Keeling, MJ (2018) CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES 66 S286-S292
Sellman, S; Tsao, K; Tildesley, MJ; Brommesson, P; Webb, CT; Wennergren, U; Keeling, MJ; Lindström, T (2018) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 14 e1006086
Irvine, MA; Bull, JC; Keeling, MJ (2018) SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8
Keeling, MJ; Broadfoot, KA; Datta, S (2017) EPIDEMICS 21 56-62
Atia, J; Monaghan, E; Kaler, J; Purdy, K; Green, L; Keeling, M (2017) EPIDEMICS 21 13-20
Keeling, MJ; Franklin, DN; Datta, S; Brown, MA; Budge, GE (2017) SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 7 6240
Métras, R; Fournié, G; Dommergues, L; Camacho, A; Cavalerie, L; Mérot, P; Keeling, MJ; Cétre-Sossah, C; Cardinale, E; Edmunds, WJ (2017) PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES 11 e0005767
Franklin, DN; Brown, MA; Datta, S; Cuthbertson, AGS; Budge, GE; Keeling, MJ (2017) APPLIED ENTOMOLOGY AND ZOOLOGY 52 221-229
Métras, R; Dommergues, L; Ortiz, K; Pannequin, M; Schuler, C; Roux, P; Edmunds, JW; Keeling, MJ; Cêtre-Sossah, C; Cardinale, E (2017) VECTOR-BORNE AND ZOONOTIC DISEASES 17 358-360
Keeling, MJ; Datta, S; Franklin, DN; Flatman, I; Wattam, A; Brown, M; Budge, GE (2017) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 14 20160908
Rock, KS; Pandey, A; Ndeffo-Mbah, ML; Atkins, KE; Lumbala, C; Galvani, A; Keeling, MJ (2017) EPIDEMICS 18 101-112
Brand, SPC; Keeling, MJ (2017) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 14 20160481
Bradbury, NV; Probert, WJM; Shea, K; Runge, MC; Fonnesbeck, CJ; Keeling, MJ; Ferrari, MJ; Tildesley, MJ (2017) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 13 e1005318
Shiri, T; Datta, S; Madan, J; Tsertsvadze, A; Royle, P; Keeling, MJ; McCarthy, ND; Petrou, S (2017) LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH 5 E51-E59
Rock, KS; Torr, SJ; Lumbala, C; Keeling, MJ (2017) PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES 11 e0005162
Werkman, M; Tildesley, MJ; Brooks-Pollock, E; Keeling, MJ (2016) EPIDEMICS 17 35-41
Keeling, MJ; House, T; Cooper, AJ; Pellis, L (2016) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 12 e1005296
Irvine, MA; Bull, JC; Keeling, MJ (2016) JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY INTERFACE 13 20160463
Métras, R; Cavalerie, L; Dommergues, L; Mérot, P; Edmunds, WJ; Keeling, MJ; Cêtre-Sossah, C; Cardinale, E (2016) PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES 10 e0004783
Brand, SPC; Rock, KS; Keeling, MJ (2016) PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY 12 e1004837
Irvine, MA; Bull, JC; Keeling, MJ (2016) THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY 108 70-74
Irvine, MA; Jackson, EL; Kenyon, EJ; Cook, KJ; Keeling, MJ; Bull, JC (2016) ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE 3 150519
Hollingsworth, TD et al. (2015) PARASITES & VECTORS 8 630
House, T; Read, JM; Danon, L; Keeling, MJ (2015) EPJ DATA SCIENCE 4 13
Geard, N; Glass, K; Mccaw, JM; McBryde, ES; Korb, KB; Keeling, MJ; McVernon, J (2015) EPIDEMICS 13 56-64
Rock, KS; Torr, SJ; Lumbala, C; Keeling, MJ (2015) PARASITES & VECTORS 8 532
Pellis, L; House, T; Keeling, MJ (2015) JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY 382 160-177
Rock, KS; Wood, DA; Keeling, MJ (2015) EPIDEMICS 12 20-29
Keeling, MJ; Ross, JV (2015) EPIDEMICS 11 7-13
Brand, SPC; Tildesley, MJ; Keeling, MJ (2015) JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY 370 121-134
Brooks-Pollock, E; de Jong, MCM; Keeling, MJ; Klinkenberg, D; Wood, JLN (2015) EPIDEMICS 10 1-5
Rock, KS; Stone, CM; Hastings, IM; Keeling, MJ; Torr, SJ; Chitnis, N (2015) MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES: ESSENTIAL TOOLS FOR CONTROL AND ELIMINATION, PT A 87 53-133
Brooks-Pollock, E., Roberts, G.O., Keeling, M.J. (2014) A dynamic model of bovine tuberculosis spread and control in Great Britain. Nature 511 228-231
Black, A.J., House, T., Keeling, M.J., Ross, J.V. (2014) The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology 359 45 - 53
Buhnerkempe, M.G., Tildesley, M.J., Lindström, T., Grear, D.A., Portacci, K., Miller, R.S., Lombard, J.E., Werkman, M., Keeling, M.J., Wennergren, U., Webb, C.T. (2014) The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. PLoS ONE 9 e91724
Hancock, P.A., Rehman, Y., Hall, I.M., Edeghere, O., Danon, L., House, T.A. and Keeling, M.J. (2014) Strategies for Controlling Non-Transmissible Infection Outbreaks Using a Large Human Movement Data Set. PLoS Comp. Biol. 10 e1003809
Rock, K., Brand, S., Moir, J. and Keeling, M.J. (2014) Dynamics of infectious diseases. Reports on Progress in Physics 77 026602
Datta, S., Bull, J.C., Budge G.E. and Keeling, M.J. (2013) Modelling the spread of American foulbrood in honeybees. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10 (88) 20130650
van Boeckel, T.P., Tildesley, M.J., Linard, C., Halloy, J., Keeling, M.J. and Gilbert, M (2013) The Nosoi commute: a spatial perspective on the rise of BSL-4 laboratories in cities. arXiv:1312.3283
Danon, L., Read, J.M., House, T.A., Vernon, M.C., Keeling, M.J. (2013) Social encounter networks: Characterizing great Britain. Proc Roy Soc Lond B. 280 1765
Black, A., House, T., Keeling, M.J., Ross, J.V. (2013) Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10 (81) 20121019
Webb, S.D., Keeling, M.J., Boots, M. (2013) The role of spatial population structure on the evolution of parasites with acquired immunity and demography. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 324, 21-31.
Webb, S.D., Keeling, M.J., Boots, M. (2013) A theoretical study of the role of spatial population structure in the evolution of parasite virulence. Theoretical Population Biology, 84 (1) 36-45.
Sutherland, W.J., et al (2013) Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions. Journal of Ecology, 101 58-67
Danon, L., House, T.A., Read, J.M. and Keeling, M.J. (2012) Social encounter networks: collective properties and disease transmission, J R Soc Interface, doi:10.1098/rsif.2012.0357.
House, T., Inglis, N., Ross, J.V., Wilson, F., Suleman, S., Edeghere, O., Smith, G., Olowokure, B. and Keeling, M.J (2012) Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 in households. BMC Medicine 10 117
Tildesley, M.J. Smith, G. and Keeling, M.J. (2012) Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control, Prev Vet Med 104, 224–239.
Vernon, M.C. and Keeling, M.J. (2012) Impact of regulatory perturbations to disease spread through cattle movements in Great Britain, Prev Vet Med 105, 110–117.
Keeling, M.J. and Shattock, A. (2012) Optimal but unequitable prophylactic distribution of vaccine, Epidemics 4, 78–85
Danon, L., House, T.A., Read, J.M. and Keeling, M.J. (2012) Social encounter networks: collective properties and disease transmission. J. Roy. Soc. Interface 9 2826-2833
Rock, K.S., Keeling, M.J. and Wood, D.A. (2012) Modelling the future of the Hawaiian honeycreeper: An ecological and epidemiological problem. Ecological Modelling. 235 26-35.
Carslake, D., Grant, W., Green, L.E., Cave, J. Greaves, J., Keeling, M., McEldowney, J., Weldegebriel, H. and Medley, G.F. (2011) Endemic cattle diseases: comparative epidemiology and governance. Philo Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 366 1975-86
House T, Baguelin M, van Hoek AJ, White PJ, Sadique Z, Eames K, Read JM, Hens N, Melegaro A, Edmunds WJ, Keeling MJ (2011) Modelling the impact of local reactive school closures on critical care provision during an influenza pandemic. Proc Roy Soc Lond B. 278 2753-2760.
Keeling, M.J. and White, P.J. (2011) Targeting vaccination against novel infections: risk, age and spatial structure for pandemic influenza in Great Britain. J. Roy. Soc. Interface. 8 661-670
House, T. and Keeling, M.J. (2011) Epidemic predictions and control in clustered populations. J. Theor. Biol. 272 1-7
House, T. and Keeling, M.J. (2011) Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface 8 67-73.
Danon L, Ford AP, House T, Jewell CP, Keeling MJ, Roberts GO, Ross JV, Vernon MC (2011) Networks and the Epidemiology of Infectious Disease. Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis. 2011;2011:284909. Epub 2011 Mar 16.
Lurette, A., Belloc, C. and Keeling, M. (2011) Contact structure and Salmonella control in the network of pig movements in France. Prev. Vet. Med. 102 30-40
Travis ER, Gaze WH, Pontiroli A, Sweeney FP, Porter D, Mason S, Keeling MJ, Jones RM, Sawyer J, Aranaz A, Castellanos Rizaldos E, Cork J, Delahay RJ, Wilson GJ, Hewinson RG, Courtenay O, Wellington EMH (2011) An Inter-Laboratory Validation of a Real Time PCR Assay to Measure Host Excretion of Bacterial Pathogens, Particularly of Mycobacterium bovis. PLoS ONE 6
Keeling, M.J., Danon, L., Vernon, M.C., and House, T.A. (2010) Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 107 8866-70
Rorres, C., Pelletier, S.T., Keeling, M.J. and Smith, G. (2010) Estimating the kernel parameters of premises-based stochastic models of farmed animal infectious disease epidemics using limited, incomplete, or ongoing data. Theo. Pop. Biol. 78 46-53
Tildesley, M.J., House, T.A., Bruhn, M.C., Curry, R.J., O'Neil, M., Allpress, J.L., Smith, G. and Keeling, M.J. (2010) Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 107 1041-6
Ross, J.V., House, T.A. and Keeling, M.J. (2010) Calculation of Disease Dynamics in a Population of Households. PLoS ONE 5 e9666
House, T.A. and Keeling, M.J. (2010) The impact of contact tracing in clustered populations. PLoS Comput Biol 6 e1000721
Conlan, A.J.K., Rohani, P., Lloyd, A.L., Keeling, M.J. and Grenfell, B.T. (2010) Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. J R Soc Interface 7 623-640
House, T., Hall, I., Danon, L., and Keeling, M.J. (2010) Contingency planning for a deliberate release of smallpox in Great Britain-the role of geographical scale and contact structure. BMC Infect Dis 10 25
Deardon, R., Brooks, S.P., Grenfell, B.T., Keeling, M.J., Tildesley, M.J., Savill, N.J., Shaw, D.J., and Woolhouse, M.E.J. (2010) Inference for Individual-level Models of Infectious Diseases in Large Populations. Stat Sinica 20 239-261
Vernon, M.C. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 Representing the UK's cattle herd as static and dynamic networks. Proc. Roy. Soc. B. 276 469-476.
Heffernan, J.M. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 Implications of vaccination and waning immunity. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B. 276 2071-2080.
Tildesley, M.J. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 Is R0 a good predictor of epidemic size: Foot-and-Mouth disease in the UK. Theor. Biol. 75 133-141
House, T., Davies, G., Danon, L. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 A Motif-Based Approach to Network Epidemics. Bull. Math. Biol. 71 1693-1706
Dangerfield, C.E., Ross, J.V. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. J. R. Soc. Interface. 6 761-774
Jewell, C.P., Keeling, M.J. and Roberts, G.O. 2009 Predicting undetected infections during the 2007 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak. J. R. Soc. Interface. 6 1145-151
Tildesley, M.J., Bessell, P.R., Keeling, M.J. and Woolhouse, M.E.J. 2009 The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B. 276 3239-3248.
Keeling, M.J. and Ross. J.V. 2009 Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics. Theo. Pop. Biol. 258 623-629.
House, T.A. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 Household structure and infectious disease transmission. Epidemiology and Infection. 137 654-661.
Danon, L., House, T., and Keeling, M.J. 2009 The role of routine versus random movements on the spread of disease in Great Britain. Epidemics 1 250-258
Keeling, M.J. and Danon, L. 2009 Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases. British Medical Bull. 92 33-42.
Brooks-Pollock, E. and Keeling, M.J. 2009 Herd size and bovine tuberculosis persistence in cattle farms in Great Britain. Prev Vet. Med. 92 360-365.
Keeling, M.J. and Ross, J. (2008) On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics. J. Roy. Soc. Interface. 5 171-181
Heffernan, J.M. and Keeling, M.J. (2008) An in-host model of acute infection: Measles as a case study. Theo. Pop. Biol. 73 134-147.
House, T. and Keeling, M.J. (2008) Deterministic Epidemic Models with Explicit Household Structure. Maths BioSci. 213 29-39.
Tildesley, M.J. and Keeling, M.J. (2008) Modelling foot-and-mouth disease: a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Pre Vet Med. 85 107-124.
Tildesley, M.J., Deardon, R., Savill, N.J., Bessell, P.R., Brooks, S.P., Woolhouse, M.E.J., Grenfell, B.T. and Keeling, M.J. (2008) Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B. 275 1459-1468.
MJ Keeling, P Rohani (2007) Modeling Infectious Diseases in humans and animals. Princeton University Press
O Courtenay, LA Reilly, FP Sweeney, DW Macdonald, RJ Delahay, GJ Wilson, CL Cheeseman, MJ Keeling, EMH Wellington (2007) Performance of an environmental test to detect Mycobacterium bovis infection in badger social groups. Vet Rec. 161 817-818.
ARG Price, MJ Keeling, IN Stewart (2007) A robustness metric integrating spatial and temporal information: Application to coral reefs exposed to local and regional disturbances. Marine Ecology Progress Series 331, 101-108
NJ Savill, DJ Shaw, R Deardon, M Tildesley, MJ Keeling, MEJ Woolhouse, SP Brooks, BT Grenfell (2007) Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. J. Roy. Soc. Interface. 4 235-241
JM Read, MJ Keeling (2007) Stochasticity generates and evolutionary instability for infectious diseases. Ecology Letters 10 818-827.
NJ Savill, DJ Shaw, R Deardon, MJ Tildesley, MJ Keeling, MEJ Woolhouse, SP Brooks, BT Grenfell (2007) Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 4, 235-241
MJ Tildesley, NJ Savill, DJ Shaw, R Deardon, SP Brooks, MEJ Woolhouse, BT Grenfell, MJ Keeling (2007) Veterinary epidemiology: Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease (reply). Nature 445, E12-E13
SD Webb, MJ Keeling, M Boots (2007) Spatially extended host-parasite interactions: The role of recovery and immunity. Theor. Pop. Biol. 71 251-266.
SD Webb, MJ Keeling, M Boots (2007) Host-parasite interactions between the local and the mean-field: How and when does spatial population structure matter? J. Theor Biol 249 140-152
KA Woodbine, GF Medley, J Slevin, AL Kilbride, EJ Novell, MJ Turner, MJ Keeling, LE Green (2007) Spatiotemporal patterns and risks of herd breakdowns in pigs with postweaning multisystemic wasting syndrome. Vet Rec. 160 751-762
JM Read, MJ Keeling (2006) Disease evolution across a range of spatio-temporal scales. Theo. Pop. Biol. 70, 201-213
NJ Savill, SG St Rose, MJ Keeling, MEJ Woolhouse (2006) Silent spread of H5N1 in vaccinated poultry. Nature 442, 757
KTD Eames, MJ Keeling (2006) Coexistence and specialization of pathogen strains on contact networks. Am. Nat. 168, 230-241
PA Hancock, EJ Milner-Gulland, MJ Keeling (2006) Modelling the many-wrongs principle: The navigational advantages of aggregation in nomadic foragers. J. Theo. Biol. 240, 302-310
MJ Tildesley, NJ Savill, DJ Shaw, R Deardon, SP Brooks, MEJ Woolhouse, BT Grenfell, MJ Keeling (2006) Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature 440, 83-86
NJ Savill, DJ Shaw, R Deardon, MJ Tildesley, MJ Keeling, MEJ Woolhouse, SP Brooks, BT Grenfell (2006) Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. BMC Veterinary Research 2, art. no. 3
MJ Keeling (2005). The implications of network structure for epidemic dynamics . Theo. Pop. Biol 67, 1-8.
MJ Keeling (2005). Models of Foot-and-Mouth Disease. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 272, 1195-1202.
MJ Keeling, KTD Eames (2005). Networks and Epidemic Models. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 2, 295-307.
HJ Wearing, P Rohani, MJ Keeling (2005). Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases . PLoS Medicine 2, 621-627.
PA Hancock, EJ Milner-Gulland, MJ Keeling (2005). An individual based model of bearded pig abundance . Ecological Modelling 181, 123-137.
KTD Eames, MJ Keeling (2004). Monogamous networks and the spread of sexually transmitted diseases. Math Biosci 189, 115-130.
MJ Keeling, SP Brooks, CA Gilligan (2004). Using conservation of pattern to estimate spatial parameters from a singles snapshot. Proc Nat Acad Sci 101, 9155-9160.
P Rohani, O Miramontes, MJ Keeling (2004). The colour of noise in short ecological time series data. Math Med & Biol 21, 63-72.
KTD Eames, MJ Keeling (2003). Contact tracing and disease control. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 270, 2565-2571.
NM Ferguson, MJ Keeling, WJ Edmunds, R Gani, BT Grenfell, RM Anderson, S Leach (2003). Planning for smallpox outbreaks. Nature 425, 681-685.
MJ Keeling, F Jiggins, JM Read (2003). The invasion and coexistence of competing Wolbachia strains. Heredity 91, 382-388.
MJ Keeling, MEJ Woolhouse, RM May, G Davies, BT Grenfell (2003). Modelling Vaccination Strategies Against Foot-and-Mouth Disease. Nature 421, 136-142.
JM Read, MJ Keeling (2003). Disease evolution on networks: the role of contact structure. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 270, 699-708.
MJ Keeling, ON Bjornstad, BT Grenfell (2003). Metapopulation Dynamics of Infectious Diseases in Metapopulation Dynamics, I Hanski, OE Gaggiotti (ed.), Elsevier Press, pp 415-446.
KTD Eames, MJ Keeling (2002). Modeling dynamic and network heterogeneities in the spread of sexually transmitted diseases. PNAS 99, 13330-13335.
M.J. Keeling (2002). Using Individual-based Simulations to Test the Levins Metapopulation Paradigm. J. Animal Ecology 71, 270-279.
M.J. Keeling, B.T. Grenfell (2002). Understanding the Persistence of Measles: Reconciling Theory, Simulation and Observation. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 269, 335-343.
M.J. Keeling, H.B. Wilson, S.W. Pacala (2002). Deterministic limits to stochastic, spatial models of natural enemies. Am. Nat. 159, 57-80.
MJ Keeling, P Rohani (2002). Estimating Spatial Coupling in Epidemiological Systems: a Mechanistic Approach. Ecology Letters 5, 20-29.
P. Rohani, M.J. Keeling, B.T. Grenfell (2002). The Interplay Between Determinism and Stochasticity in Childhood Diseases. Am. Nat. 159, 469-481.
MJ Keeling, P Rohani, BT Grenfell (2001). Seasonally-forced Disease Dynamics Explored as Switching Between Attractors. Physcia D 148, 317-335.
MJ Keeling, MEJ Woolhouse, DJ Shaw, L Matthews, M Chase-Topping, DT Haydon, SJ Cornell, J Kappey, J Wilesmith, BT Grenfell (2001). Dynamics of the 2001 UK Foot and Mouth Epidemic: Stochastic Dispersal in a Heterogeneous Landscape. Science 294, 813-817.
M Woolhouse, M Chase-Topping, D Haydon, J Friar, L Matthews, G Hughes, D Shaw, J Wilesmith, A Donaldson, S Cornell, M Keeling & B Grenfell (2001). Foot-and-mouth disease under control in the UK. Nature 414, 258-258.
MJ Keeling, DA Rand (2001). Spatial Correlations and Local Fluctuations in Host Parasite Systems in From Finite to Infinite Dimensional Dynamics Systems, JC Robinson, PA Glendinning (ed.), Kluwer Academic Publishers, pp5-57
Keeling (2000) Evolutionary Trade-Offs at Two Time Scales: Competition v Persistence Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 267 385-391
Keeling and Grenfell (2000) Individual-based perspectives on R0 J. Theo. Biol. 203, 51-61
Keeling (2000) Multiplicative Moments and Measures of Persistence in Ecology J. Theor. Biol. 205, 269-281
Keeling (2000) Simple Stochastic Models and their Power-law Type Behaviour Theo. Pop. Biol. 58 21-31
Keeling (2000) Metapopulation moments: coupling, stochasticity and persistence J. Animal Ecology 69 725-736
Keeling and Gilligan (2000) Metapopulation dynamics of bubonic plague Nature 407 903-906
Keeling and Gilligan (2000) Bubonic Plague: A Metapopulation Model of a Zoonosis Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 267 2219-2230
Keeling, Wilson and Pacala (2000) Re-interpreting Space, Time-lags and Functional Responses in Ecological Models Science 290 1758-1761
Price, Keeling and O'Callaghan (1999) Ocean-scale Patterns of Biodiversity and Community Structure. Biological J. Linnean Soc. 66 187-203
Keeling (1999) The effects of local spatial structure on epidemiological invasions Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 266 859-869
Keeling (1999) Correlation equations for endemic diseases, Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 266 953-961
Keeling and Grenfell (1999) Stochastic Dynamics and a power law for measles variability Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 354 769-776
Keeling, Milner-Gulland and Clayton (1998) Spatial dynamics of two harvested wild pig populations Natural Resource Modelling 12 147-169
Finkenstadt, Keeling and Grenfell (1998) Patterns of density dependence in measles dynamics. Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B. 265 753-762
Keeling and Grenfell (1997) Disease Extinction and Community Size: Modeling the Persistence of Measles Science 275 65-67
Keeling, Mezic, Hendry, McGlade and Rand (1997) Characteristic Length Scales of Spatial Models in Ecology via Fluctuation Analysis Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B 352 1589-1601
Keeling, Rand and Morris (1997) Correlation Models for Childhood Diseases Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. B 264 1149-1156
Keeling and Grenfell (1997) Impact of Variability in Infection Period on the Persistence and Spatial Spread of Infectious Diseases Math BioSciences 147 206-227
Clayton, Keeling and Milner-Gulland (1997) Bringing Home the Bacon: A Spatial Model of Wild Pig Harvesting in Sulawesi, Indonesia Ecological Applications 7 642-652
Keeling (1997) Modelling the Persistence of Measles Trends in MicroBiology 5 513-518
Rand, Keeling and Wilson (1995) Invasion, Stability and Evolution to Criticality in Spatially Extended Artificial Host-Pathogen Ecologies Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 259 55-63
Keeling and Rand (1995) A Spatial Mechanism for the Evolution and Maintenance of Sexual Reproduction Oikos 74 414-424