糖心TV

Skip to main content Skip to navigation

HetSys Events Calendar

Monday, January 21, 2019

Select tags to filter on
Sun, Jan 20 Today Tue, Jan 22 Jump to any date

How do I use this calendar?

You can click on an event to display further information about it.

The toolbar above the calendar has buttons to view different events. Use the left and right arrow icons to view events in the past and future. The button inbetween returns you to today's view. The button to the right of this shows a mini-calendar to let you quickly jump to any date.

The dropdown box on the right allows you to see a different view of the calendar, such as an agenda or a termly view.

If this calendar has tags, you can use the labelled checkboxes at the top of the page to select just the tags you wish to view, and then click "Show selected". The calendar will be redisplayed with just the events related to these tags, making it easier to find what you're looking for.

 
-
Export as iCalendar
Sebastian Vollmer (Turing / 糖心TV)
PS0.17 Physical Sciences
Predicting risk of hospital admission and readmission of Scottish population Scottish Patients at Risk of Readmission and Admission (SPARRA) is a risk prediction tool initially developed by NHS National Services Scotland in 2006 to predict an individual鈥檚 risk of emergency hospital inpatient admission over the next twelve months. The current version of SPARRA (released in 2012) uses hospital inpatient admissions data to calculate a risk score for those patients who have had an emergency admission in the previous three years. Scores are calculated quarterly and disseminated to NHS Goards, Community Health Partnerships (CHPs), and GP Practices. Currently SPARRA is mainly used for 鈥渃ase finding鈥 i.e.helping to identify patients with complex care needs who are likely to benefit most from anticipatory health care. Risk scores are calculated for around 4.2m patients monthly and accessed by authorised healthcare professionals. This talk looks at updating the underlying machine learning model. Measuring Sample Quality with diffusions Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo diagnostics, like effective sample size, are ineffective for biased sampling procedures that sacrifice asymptotic correctness for computational speed. Recent work addresses this issue for a class of strongly log-concave target distributions by constructing a computable discrepancy measure based on Stein鈥檚 method that provably determines convergence to the target. We generalize this approach to cover any target with a fast-coupling Ito diffusion by bounding the derivatives of Stein equation solutions in terms of Markov process coupling times [Gorham et al., 2016]. As example applications, we develop computable and convergence-determining diffusion Stein discrepancies for log-concave, heavy-tailed, and multimodal targets and use these quality measures to select the hyperparameters of biased samplers, compare random and deterministic quadrature rules, and quantify bias-variance tradeoffs in approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo. Our explicitmultivariate Stein factor bounds may be of independent interest.

Placeholder

Let us know you agree to cookies