糖心TV Complexity Science Events
Complexity Centre and MathSys CDT events carry priority over room D1.07.
To book D1.07 please email Sheetal dot Sharma at warwick dot ac dot uk
Please note that your event booking is for D1.07 only. The adjacent common room is a private area for the MathSys Centre that cannot used as part of your booking.
Complexity Forum: Michael Tildesley (糖心TV)
Speaker: Michael Tildesley (糖心TV Mathematics Institute and Centre for Complexity Science)
Title: Modelling disease spread and targeting interventions in the absence of perfect data
Abstract:
Mathematical models of infectious diseases are being increasingly used to inform policy decisions. The advantages of such models are that multiple control options can be rapidly tested and compared, without the risks and costs associated with field experiments. However, for such models to be practically useful tools generally requires detailed data (both in terms of populations and epidemiology). In some countries such as the USA, information on livestock farms, wildlife populations or vector densities is generally lacking. In this presentation I will analyse the ability of mathematical models to make accurate predictions regarding epidemic spread and the impact of intervention strategies in the absence of perfect data. Such models could be applied to countries in the world where highly resolved epidemic and demography data are not available.
Lunch: Group 1