糖心TV Complexity Science Events
Complexity Centre and MathSys CDT events carry priority over room D1.07.
To book D1.07 please email Sheetal dot Sharma at warwick dot ac dot uk
Please note that your event booking is for D1.07 only. The adjacent common room is a private area for the MathSys Centre that cannot used as part of your booking.
Thursday 6th December 2007: Evening Lecture
MODELLING CONFLICT
Lectures will be held in Central London. 57-58 De Morgan House – Russell Square.
5:00pm – 7.00 pm: Professor Timothy Hackworth & Philip Treleaven (Computer Science UCL)
Computational Science has already had an immense impact on the life sciences. We now try to assess its effectiveness on social and political modelling and, in particular, in thwarting terrorism. We started our study some years ago in a very successful attempt to forecast the outcome of disputes between nations, not only if there might be a conflict, but also when that might take place. Our data came from forty-five years’ worth of financial records taken from the archives of the United Nations and the International Monetary Fund. We based our reasoning on Richardson’s theory of arms races which was originally formulated in the 1940s.